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About strategies
Internet strategies and tactics abound on how to beat
roulette. The best known and practiced by those who enter the field of gambling
is the trick of the Martingale: betting with the odds of success in even / odd
or red / black and doubling the bet after having lost. Esport Cool Logo
Gaming, For example, if you bet on black 1 sol and
lose, bet on black 2 soles again. If you win, you get back the previous
investment and a profit. If you lose, you bet 4 soles and if you win, you will
recover the two previous investments plus a profit.
The other strategies use the same logic: suppose a profit
from a probability to justify the success of the strategy. This is unfortunately
a trick that we can mathematically solve if we look carefully at some
variables.
All the strategies coincide in covering as many results as
possible and increasing the amount of each loss to obtain a future profit in a
period of time. The problem is that the "possible results" do not
exist in roulette, because it is a game of chance in which the ball can fall
indistinctly in any box and even repeat the same result to the incredible.
But let's go by parts.
Stochastic Process
It happens that the game of roulette is a stochastic
process, a mathematical concept used to warn of the succession of random
variables over time. Roulette results do not keep a memory of the previous
result, so each game will always be under the same odds since success and error.
This logic is something that mathematicians call the law of
averages: anticipating a result thinking that it is conditioned on the previous
results. If the ball came out odd seven times, the next must be even. If the
ball fell nine times red, it will now be black ... As if the ball had memory!
Each result is always in the same conditions, so there is no logic to a
supposed "behavior" of roulette, Esport Cool Logo Gaming.
The funny thing is that the casinos seek to make you believe
in the fallacy of the 'law of averages' by putting on the screens the
"cold numbers" (which have rarely come out on each launch) and the
"hot numbers" (the ones that most times they have come out in each
spin of the roulette), when all the numbers have the same probabilities of coming
out without any "trend".
Large number law
Now let's go to
something more curious. How many times is it possible for a result to emerge
that is a threat to our strategy? I mean the times that red comes out when we
bet on black, that comes out even when we bet even or that the same number
always comes out that escapes our "winning" strategy.
To get an idea of
the complexity of this question, we must turn to the Law of Large Numbers to
reach a monstrous conclusion. The Law of Large Numbers indicates that in the
long term the probability of an event occurring determines the frequency with
which it occurs. Let's look at an example.
We toss a coin in
the air. The probability that it is heads or tails is the same (50%). Now let's
think about how likely it would be to come out heads 20 times in a row. The
probability is small, but it exists. But what if we toss the coin indefinitely…
The probability of incredible events like 20 or 50 heads in a row happening
will happen once in a while, Esport Cool Logo Gaming. However, in the long run,
it will coincide with the probability of that happening; that is, very small if
we see the global number of millions of attempts.
Returning to the
topic of roulette. Casinos operate 24 hours and roulettes do not stop working.
In that sense, there is an indefinite toss in which as incredible results can
occur as seeing 10 times heads on a coin, or seven times on the number that
escapes from your strategy or nine times red when you bet on black. How do you
know? There is simply no way, Esport Cool Logo Gaming. Like any stochastic
process, the variables of each result will always be the same in an environment
of total randomness.
Luck…
You may still
still think there is a chance of winning. Certainly there are, only you must
have a large amount of money to continue playing until you get the desired
result. For how long? Considering that the releases are indefinite, it can be
from a couple of hours to days. You never know, Esport Cool Logo Gaming. That
is already a matter of luck, something that with table tricks you can never
get.
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